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Old 10-08-2008   #1 (permalink)
frequency
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Default WCG Asia - DotA predictions

Hey guys, the DotA final bracket is going to be played today and I thought I might as well post up predictions of the finals (since I didn't cover the whole event - don't worry about that :P)

It is single elimination which is kinda lame, but I guess due to time and the large amount of stuff that goes on its probably the only way.


Quater-Final matches:

E-Home (China) v ToFu (Korea)
E-Home have been showing very strong performances lately, and their 3-0 domination of their group should mean they head into the match against ToFu strong favourites. ToFu should still not be counted out at all, placing 2nd in their group (behind Ks), ToFu still managed to defeat the top Vietnamise side 'StarsBoba'.
My pick: E-Home

Winner of group C (due to a huge time delay, the final match of Group C was not played on Saturday, so therefore it will be played Sunday early in the morning) v Thailand (No - I don't know their name XD)
The winner of group C will be either XcN (Indonesia, and will most likely win the group), Firm (Australia) or Mineski (Philippines). Either way, I expect the winner of the group to be able to beat the Thailand side fairly easily. The 3 teams in group C are all very strong - with the Aussies upsetting Mineski and very definitely giving XcN a fright. XcN should be playing against Thailand, and in that case it will be a trouncing.
My pick: XcN (assuming they're the winners of group C, which they 99% will be)

Impreza (Singapore) v KingSurf (Malaysia)
What will surely be the most watched quarter final match, Impreza - with the home town advantage - will face off against one of the two main favourites of WCG Asia, KingSurf. KingSurf are definitely going to be the favourites, but Impreza are a top quality side and should not be forgotten about. KingSurf dominated their group 3-0, while Impreza placed 2nd losing to Chinese powerhouses E-Home.
My pick: Ks (but Impreza will put up a challenge)

C2 (2nd place finisher in Group C) v MCC (New Zealand)
Well well well, 2nd place finisher in group C will 99% be Australia, setting up another great rivalry between these teams. Leading up to this, Aus and NZ had been scrimming a lot, so hopefully the teams will have learned from eachother and this will probably be a very even match.
My pick: Hmm... Australia will win, aren't I patriotic? (This match will be very interesting btw, and ill probably get abused by the NZ guys because I didnt pick them ;D)

Which leaves the semi finals:

E-Home (China) v XcN (Indonesia)
Winning WCG Asia last year, E-Home will be fighting hard to keep their title, but I just dont see them beating XcN. XcN are getting great results in the Prime Defending League (where they play with Europeans and Americans), and their strong teamwork and individual skill will triumph over E-Home. I could be wrong though - Australia really gave XcN a challenge (in their first game), and E-Home should do the same.
My pick: XcN (but E-Home will put up a strong fight)

Ks (Malaysia) v Firm (Australia)
As much as I would love for it to happen, Firm wont beat Ks (or MCC if they beat Firm in the quarters). Despite their poor performances in the PDL, Ks will still be able to beat Firm. Yamateh vs Shatan (the two who will probably solo) will be a good matchup, but Ks will out play with with experience.
My pick: Ks

And by process of elimination, that leaves the final and the 3rd place final.

Third place final:
E-Home (China) v Firm (Australia)
E-Home will take this match, their recent performances show that they really are a top side, but I think that Ks and XcN are stronger than them. Firm, with their relative lack of experience will probably put up a strong early game, but be outplayed with teamwork. E-Home will take this and the 3rd place prize.
My pick: E-Home

The grand final:
XcN (Indonesia) v KingSurf (Malaysia)
The two favourites and (in my opinion) the two best teams in Asia are the teams that will be playing for the first place prize for my predictions. Following their recent online performances, XcN are playing a LOT better than Ks. While managing to salvage draws in the PDL, Ks are still lingering near the bottom with sides like x6 and Srs. XcN however, are up the top with teams like Mouz and +46, and showing strong performances. This isn't online though - this is LAN and there is a lot more pride at stake. Depending on their performances in the quarter finals, I think that XcN will win. Ks are definitely a strong team but XcN will out power them.
My pick: XcN

Overall:
1st - XcN
2nd - Ks
3rd - E-Home
4th - Firm


What do you guys think? Who will win!?

*UPDATES:
E-Home > ToFu
XcN > Thailand
Ks > Impreza
MCC > Firm (lame)

E-Home > XcN
MCC > Ks

Grand Finals:
MCC (New Zealand) < E-Home (China)

3rd place final:
XcN (Indonesia) < Ks (Malaysia)

E-Home won, but what I think was more important was Aus/NZ performance, MCC making it to 2nd means that now we (aus/nz) will have a lot more fans and more importance in international DotA

Last edited by frequency; 10-08-2008 at 08:37 PM..
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